
11 November 2025
The surge in Bitcoin and gold prices today can be attributed to a significant political development in the United States. On November 10, 2025, Bitcoin soared above $106,000, while gold jumped nearly 2% following the U.S. Senate's crucial vote. The Senate passed legislation with a 60-40 vote to end what had been the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. This move drew a collective sigh of relief across financial markets, which had been shackled by political uncertainty.
The rally in Bitcoin and gold reflects a combination of factors. Firstly, the resolution of this political impasse led to a weakening of the U.S. dollar, as the resumption of federal spending elevated fiscal concerns. This backdrop traditionally boosts safe-haven assets like gold while simultaneously driving risk assets like Bitcoin higher due to improved market sentiment.
With my experience of over a decade as an analyst and active retail investor, I've conducted a technical analysis of BTC/USDT and XAU/USD charts.
Bitcoin has exhibited bullish momentum, rising 4.38% in the past 24 hours to trade at $106,403.31 as of Monday morning. It has notably surged past the critical psychological threshold of $100,000 after multiple dips during the prolonged government shutdown. The rebound finds Bitcoin testing resistance in the $106,000-$108,000 zone, bolstered by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 200 EMA.
If Bitcoin can break above this resistance level, it could pave the way to retest its October all-time high around $126,000. Conversely, failure to surpass this barrier could increase downside risk, implying a possible retreat towards $100,000, and potentially further down to $74,000 in extreme market conditions.
The price of gold has rallied almost $80 per ounce, pushing it to $4,085. This rally is primarily driven by the weakening dollar and the expectation of continued dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. Gold is finding support slightly below the $4,000 mark, also re-enforced by its 50-day exponential moving average. This trend suggests that gold has room to advance towards its historical peak of $4,400.
A decisive break above $4,400 could lead to further gains, potentially even breaching $5,000 in the longer term if conditions remain favorable. However, caution is advised as a breakdown of current support could trigger a deeper correction towards $3,400 where the 200 EMA is located.
The unique scenario we're observing where both traditional safe havens like gold and risk assets like Bitcoin are rallying simultaneously, illustrates the complex dynamics in play. The shutdown resolution has removed notable political uncertainty, bolstering risk assets while the resultant dollar weakness has elevated safe-haven assets.
In terms of future forecasts, Bitcoin could potentially reach $180,000 to $200,000 in 2025, driven by predicted institutional adoption and market sentiment. For gold, longer-term forecasts suggest prices could jump to over $5,000 per ounce depending on fiscal policies and geopolitical developments.
As we look to the days ahead, the passage of the Senate bill depends on a full floor vote and subsequent House approval. The market is positioning for a positive resolution with prediction markets assigning a high probability to the shutdown ending before mid-November. Traders should prepare for potential volatility if the deal faces hurdles.
In conclusion, today's behavior of Bitcoin and gold highlights the intricate interplay of political, economic, and technical factors shaping market dynamics. These assets remain volatile yet promising investment opportunities in a world of continued uncertainty and developing fiscal narratives.
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